Staff Reports
Amidst the swirling chaos of political polls that often leave conservatives shaking their heads, a recent NBC poll is touting Vice President Kamala Harris as some kind of electoral juggernaut. According to NBC National Political Reporter Steve Kornacki, she leads former President Donald Trump by 49% to 44%. But hold your horses before buying into this optimistic narrative; those numbers are not set in stone, and a closer look reveals the truth behind this so-called advantage.
One of the key talking points from Kornacki’s analysis is the apparent gender gap driving Harris’s lead. It’s reported that women favor her over Trump by a whopping 21 points, but for guys, Trump holds a 12-point edge. So, while the math might initially have some folks scratching their heads, that’s a staggering 33-point gender gap when the numbers are crunched. It sounds impressive—but anyone who’s been around the political block knows how quickly these “gaps” can narrow, especially with the current contentious atmosphere surrounding social issues.
There’s also the recent debate nonsense—Kornacki claims that nearly 30% of audience members emerged from it feeling more favorable toward Harris. How often do voters shift their preferences based on a single debate? If history has taught us anything, it’s that “debate bumps” fade faster than a summer tan, particularly when Trump is involved. The fact that a smaller percentage reported liking Trump more after the debate is noteworthy, but perhaps that’s because many voters already know where they stand with the former President, and it’s not decided by a TV spectacle.
‘That’s Enormous’: Steve Kornacki Describes Massive ‘Gender Gap’ Between Trump, Harris In New Pollhttps://t.co/b9Lg2TIyGV
— Jennifer Harper 👍👌👍👌 (@AwakeNeverWoke1) September 23, 2024
Moreover, it’s almost laughable to consider Harris’s previously dismal numbers before she threw her hat into the ring. Before Biden bowed out, she was languishing with a 32% positive to 50% negative approval rating. Now, as she revels in her upsurge, her favorability rating hovers closely with those who disfavor her, at just 48% to 45%. This barely-there lead isn’t exactly a strong foundation for a campaign that’s positioned as a formidable threat to well-established candidates like Trump. If her numbers were any closer to even, one could say she’s just a gust of wind away from losing the lead.
Finally, while the NBC poll may have surveyed 1,000 registered voters with a margin of error of 3.1%, it’s crucial to remember that polls are merely snapshots in time. Factors can change by the minute as new threats emerge, voters reconsider their positions, or even a tweet from Trump galvanizes his base. Until the votes are counted and the ballots cast, this so-called advantage for Harris might just be a mirage in the desert of conservative resilience. As always, it’s a long way until Election Day, and the political landscape can shift faster than a DC politician’s allegiance.
