A retrospective analysis of the GOP trajectory reveals an undeniable trend: the party is making a comeback reminiscent of the era of President William McKinley. This revival does not come as a surprise, particularly as Donald Trump positions himself not just as a standard-bearer for the party but as a champion of protectionist policies that McKinley himself would likely endorse. The restoration of McKinleyism under Trump signifies a strategic pivot back to grassroots conservatism, favoring American industries and labor over the whims of globalization.
Historically, McKinley was a stalwart proponent of protectionism, emphasizing tariffs as a means to bolster American economic strength. While the Republican Party has had its fair share of free-traders post-McKinley, the return to these protective measures marks a decisive shift. Under Trump, the GOP appears ready to fully embrace the muscular protectionist stance of their predecessors, reminiscent of McKinley’s doctrine that rallied the party in the late 19th century. With every tariff levied, Trump breathes new life into this vital aspect of Republican identity, recalling the era when American manufacturing thrived under similar policies.
Back to the Future for the #GOP – a Return to McKinleyism Without The Tarrifs https://t.co/QTyoNQuFLL
— Zayphar has always been colorblind (@Zayphar) November 17, 2024
The political landscape during McKinley’s tenure had clear parallels to the contemporary scene. Just as McKinley consolidated the Republican base amidst a tumultuous electoral battleground, Trump appears to be positioning the GOP for a solid, enduring majority by courting minority voters and the working-class Americans who may have previously felt alienated. The modern GOP, under Trump’s leadership, seems eager to reclaim these voters through policies that prioritize American jobs and businesses over foreign interests. This strategy has proven effective, evidenced by Trump’s increasing appeal among diverse voter demographics.
Key political scholars note that the 2024 election could serve as a pivotal realigning moment for the Republican Party. Just as McKinley’s elections transformed the political fabric of their time, Trump’s focus on protectionist economics is poised to reshape party alliances moving forward. The emergence of a GOP coalition that includes more low-income and low-education voters based on these principles is reminiscent of McKinley’s efforts to attract a wide-ranging base while fending off rampant Democratic competition. This coalition-building underscores the evolution of the Republican identity in a changed electoral landscape.
In the modern context, Trump’s challenge lies in effectively harnessing this McKinley-style coalition to create a dominant, long-lasting electoral majority. While the reframing of the party’s identity through a protectionist lens may alienate some traditionalists, it positions the GOP to capitalize on the frustrations of the American electorate with the status quo. The success or failure of this McKinley-esque strategy will become clearer as the electoral battles play out, but the groundwork has undeniably been laid with an eye toward a sustained GOP resurgence, much like the era of McKinley.