Before President Joe Biden opted to step aside and let Vice President Kamala Harris take the steering wheel of the Democratic presidential campaign, forecasts indicated that former President Donald Trump was positioned to dominate the battleground states. However, Harris’s ascent may have transformed the electoral map, particularly in crucial states like Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina, which are now receiving new attention from the Democratic camp.
Harris is demonstrating her tenacity in Arizona, where recent polls show her trailing Trump by a mere three points. This is quite a leap from Biden’s lackluster 40% performance in the state. Interestingly, Harris has garnered unexpected support from some moderate Republicans, including a handful of border mayors who have cast their endorsements in her direction. Meanwhile, the Republicans are gearing up to blame her for the border fiasco that they claim originated under Biden’s watch. Arizona, once seen as the GOP’s bastion, has leaned left in recent years—thanks to an influx of Democrats who have scored major victories, including a Democratic governor and Senate seat. Now the Democrats are hoping that support for an abortion ballot initiative will help pad their numbers even more in this critical election cycle.
Swing state shift: Harris and Trump locked in fights on new battlegrounds https://t.co/zFlP0VLkXa
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) August 5, 2024
Turning to Georgia, the Democrats are riding a wave of enthusiasm that they claim rivals the Obama years. After narrowly flipping the state blue in 2020, Harris is counting on this excitement to maintain Democratic dominance in Georgia. With over a third of the state’s population being black—a critical demographic for the Democrats—Harris is trying to maximize her appeal. Polling puts her just two points behind Trump, suggesting a fiercely competitive race ahead. Harris’s robust campaign presence, complete with multiple offices and a sizable staff, speaks to her commitment to making a serious play for this historically pivotal state.
In Nevada, the polling is tight, with Trump holding a slim one-point lead over Harris. This marks a shift from Biden’s earlier substantial disadvantages. Harris has been actively courting black and Latino voters and has engaged with the community through over 50 campaign events. With a notable increase in voter registration since Biden’s exit, it appears that the momentum is swinging, much to the surprise of the Republican establishment. Moreover, the undecided voters in the Las Vegas area could be swayed one way or another, especially with Trump’s new “no tax on tips” promise, designed to resonate with the hardworking service industry.
North Carolina is another battleground that seems to be tightening under Harris’s campaign. While Trump previously held a commanding lead over Biden, the latest polling shows that Harris has narrowed the gap. Historically, Democrats have struggled to capture North Carolina ever since Obama’s 2008 victory, but this year offers a new opportunity as the party eyes key gubernatorial contests. Harris’s team has had notable names like Gov. Roy Cooper considered for the number two spot, indicating just how important they view North Carolina for their chances this election cycle.
As Harris steps further into the spotlight, and with Trump facing her down in these significant states, the race is on to see whether her strategic moves will pay off or whether voters will decide once again to give the former president another shot at the White House. Perhaps the only certainty is that as election season heats up, the fireworks display of campaigning will bring plenty of spectacle along with it.