Staff Reports
Monday’s presidential election polling updates have delivered devastating news for Joe Biden, as Trump is shown to be dominating in swing states such as Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Georgia. The momentum is clearly in Trump’s favor, with Pennsylvania making a surprising shift to support the former president and Nevada, a traditionally blue state, leaning towards Trump for months now.
WISCONSIN
Trump 44% (+5)
Biden 39%
Kennedy 4%
Stein 1%
West 1%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump 45% (+3)
Biden 42%
Kennedy 3%
Stein 1%
West 1%
.
MICHIGAN
Trump 44% (+2)
Biden 42%
Kennedy 4%
Stein 1%
West 1%
.
NEVADA
Trump 47% (+5)
Biden 42%
Kennedy 3%
Stein 1%
West 0%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 46%…— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 15, 2024
Even in Virginia, a state he lost by 10 points in 2020, Trump is now only trailing by three points, a sign that he is well on his way to securing a landslide victory. The Times/Sienna poll reveals this alarming trend for Democrats, indicating that Trump’s potential for re-election is stronger than ever.
New NYT/Siena poll of PA and VA.
Trump up 3 in PA
Biden up 3 in VAKamala polls better than Biden in both states.
Trump up 1 in PA
Harris up 5 in VAhttps://t.co/mHVd6fqRtI pic.twitter.com/mXpjnLTV11— Alex Thompson (@AlexThomp) July 15, 2024
Nate Silver’s latest model update further solidifies Trump’s position, with Biden’s chances at one of their lowest points ahead of the Republican National Convention. The landscape is undeniably grim for Democrats, especially considering the recent assassination attempt against Trump, which may even boost his support further.
With the looming possibility of Trump selecting Glenn Youngkin as his running mate, the Democrats face an uphill battle towards November. The current data leaves no room for optimism on their end, painting a clear picture of Republican dominance in the upcoming election.
