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US Holds All the Cards Against Iran, Says Victor Davis Hanson

Ah, the Middle East, a region where the concept of peace is more elusive than Bigfoot. It seems the folks over at MSNBC are under the impression that Iran has somehow gained the upper hand. But let’s break this down into simpler terms for those who might be a bit confused. Iran is not exactly the winning champion here. The regime is hanging on not because of any strategic brilliance but rather because the United States has chosen not to pursue an all-out occupation. After all, who’s in the mood to revisit Fallujah part two?

Instead, the Western approach has been to use immense firepower from a distance, effectively defeating Iran militarily without marching troops into a Middle Eastern quagmire. Economically, Iran is teetering on the brink of collapse. Their only trump card—pun intended—is delay. They seem to believe that if they procrastinate long enough, international conditions might shift in their favor, perhaps with the help of sympathetic Europeans or a turn of political fortune in the U.S. To them, it’s a waiting game; talk and delay, talk and delay.

In reality, time is not on Tehran’s side. The U.S. has laid out a plan to squeeze them economically and cut off their lifeblood without shedding American blood. Yet the left-wing seems to have difficulty acknowledging this plainly successful strategy. Maybe it’s because some of them dislike Donald Trump more than they favor a robust U.S. presence on the global stage. Instead of heralding a victory for America, they’re dreaming of Trump losing the next election cycle like their favorite underdog in a gritty sports drama.

Internally, Iran is a soap opera of power struggles. With four main factions—the religious theocrats, the elected officials, the Revolutionary Guard, and the army—at constant odds with each other, it’s a modern Game of Thrones without the dragons. Each group wants to appear tough but is equally afraid of everything collapsing like a house of cards. The regime is riddled with paranoia, worried about internal revolt and external threats, mainly who’s on the next Israeli target list. Ironically, their inability to present a united front plays in America’s favor.

If playing the waiting game in hopes that the international left will hand them a lifeline isn’t working, perhaps it’s time for Iran to manage those resources they seem so fond of misplacing. Each Iranian ship intercepted represents millions lost—a harsh economic reality that doesn’t bode well for a regime hoping to outlast strategic patience. The U.S., meanwhile, keeps its options open, holding a mean poker hand and a spine much sturdier than Iran would hope. In the end, the one string Iran clings to is far thinner than they’d care to admit. With all these cards on the table, it seems Iran is bluffing with a very weak hand indeed.

Written by Staff Reports

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