Staff Reports
In the latest news about the upcoming election, it looks like President Joe Biden is struggling to overtake former President Donald Trump in the polls. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump is leading by a slim margin of 0.2 points, down from over 4 points at the start of the year. Even in the most recent polls by New York Times -Siena College and Morning Consult, Trump is still holding onto a 1-point lead. Biden’s biggest lead nationally is only 4 points, according to Reuters-Ipsos. It seems like the anti-Trump crowd is having a tough time getting ahead.
Even in the critical battleground states, Trump continues to lead, and when third-party candidates are factored in, his edge over Biden only grows. However, there may be a glimmer of hope for Biden, as some potential third-party spoilers seem to be losing steam. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who was previously polling at 8% to 14%, has seen a decline in support, dropping to 3% and 2% in more recent surveys.
I don’t understand how even ONE person could vote for this decrepit,psychotic,racist thug! https://t.co/9CSX9VCged
— TruthLab (@RightMindsMedia) April 18, 2024
It appears that Biden might be pulling in some of the anti-Trump voters, which is something Hillary Clinton failed to do in 2016. There’s also a possibility that he’s winning back progressives who were disillusioned with his performance in office. Despite this, the Democrats are facing some tough questions. Are they satisfied with being nearly tied with Trump, or does this indicate weakness in their campaign? Comparing to past elections, Biden’s lead is nowhere near that of the previous Democratic candidates at this stage.
On the other hand, Trump seems to be holding his ground, outperforming his poll numbers from previous elections. With the current political and international climate, many voters have a more favorable view of Trump’s term than Biden’s. The idea of Trump winning the popular vote and securing a second term as president is not far-fetched. Despite the Democrats’ efforts to capitalize on Trump’s tumultuous tenure, they may be missing the mark in gaining momentum for Biden.
In addition, Trump is currently facing legal uncertainties and lagging behind in fundraising, posing challenges to his campaign. Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, who campaigned against Trump for the Republican nomination, has not yet endorsed him, adding another layer of uncertainty to Trump’s candidacy. The hope for Democrats may lie in Biden’s recent bump in the polls leading to a full political recovery that could erase Trump’s lead entirely as the election approaches. However, the fear is that they may have exhausted every possible strategy against Trump and still cannot surpass him nationally or in the battleground states.
So, it seems like Biden is still facing an uphill battle against Trump, despite some recent improvements in his position. Whether he can secure a second term remains to be seen, but it’s clear that the race is far from over.
