Staff Reports
The presidential race is heating up, and not in the way the Democrats would like to think. Just days after President Joe Biden gracefully exited stage left (or was it stage right?), the political waters are looking murkier by the minute. Polls show that former President Donald Trump has managed to wring out a slim margin in the latest numbers, with a lead of 1.2% over Vice President Kamala Harris, according to the latest calculations from RealClearPolitics. This leads to the all-important question: how do you spell “serious trouble” for Democrats? T-R-U-M-P.
A closer look at the past ten national polls reveals that Trump is clearly the crowd favorite, leading in a whopping seven of them. The naysayers might argue there’s been some mild tightening in the race, but that’s just a fancy way to say Harris is hanging on by a thread that her party’s elite have stitched together. Analysts like Carl Cannon have noted that it’s still an open game and “anyone’s race,” but anyone with half a brain knows what direction the wind is blowing: straight towards Trump’s camp, holding a banner reading “Let’s Make America Great Again… Again.”
Race tightening, Harris up with minorities, Trump with white, rural voters @RCPolitics Avg: 47.7% Trump-46.5% Harris@McLaughlinAssoc 47% Trump-45% Harris@Rasmussen_Poll 49%Trump-44%Harris
'This is anybody’s race,' @CarlCannon, 'it’s what the numbers indicate'… pic.twitter.com/82bY4kxrwN
— Paul Bedard (@SecretsBedard) August 1, 2024
Not to be outdone, Fox News shared insights from their Decision Desk director, pointing out that the numbers aren’t shifting significantly. Not surprisingly, the polls can tell vastly different tales depending on who they ask. One of the most laughably skewed polls shows Harris with a four-point edge, but the sampling had 36% Democrats and only 31% Republicans, clearly a statistician’s version of wishful thinking. And that little gem was bleated out by none other than the pro-Harris Drudge Report, which is about as biased as it gets.
Rasmussen Reports and McLaughlin & Associates—pollsters who clearly still have a grip on reality—paint a far less rosy picture for Harris. Rasmussen showed that Trump led 49%-44%, which is his largest margin yet. They used a more balanced sample, which mirrored the actual 2020 voter breakdown much better than the one that seemed to think a Harris victory was around the corner. Looks like the Democrats are still trying to fit a round peg into a square hole.
Digging even deeper, it seems Harris is finding a few pockets of support among black and Hispanic voters while Trump is pulling rural and white voters into his camp. The math isn’t complicated. Meanwhile, the McLaughlin duo pointed out that voters haven’t really changed their tune; they’ve just swapped Biden for Harris in their disdain for the current administration. The alarming kicker? A staggering 75% of voters believe the country is on the wrong track—a sign that no amount of “results-oriented messaging” from the Democrats will be able to spin their way out of.
As the final countdown to election day looms, the narrative is only becoming clearer: the Democratic candidate may be younger, but she is also proving to be more radical and, arguably, more foolish than her predecessor. The real issue for Democrats is that with numbers like these, they might as well be trying to sell ice to Eskimos or tickets to a climate change rally on a snowy day. It’s anyone’s race, yes, but those in charge of Harris’ campaign might want to start brushing up on their alternative career options.
