Staff Reports
The 2024 race for president, between former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden, is still a close and competitive one. There are less than six months left until the election, and a new poll by ABC News/Ipsos showed Biden leading Trump 46-45 percent with registered voters. However, among likely voters, Biden’s lead grows to 49-45 percent. This shows that the election could still go either way, and there is a lot that can change before November 5.
Does It Matter That Latest Poll Shows Biden Leading? https://t.co/F0hs9LEvFP
— J. Metz (@Metz1245John) May 7, 2024
The RealClearPolling even suggests that when taking into account the latest numbers, Trump actually leads by +1.1. This gives hope to Trump’s supporters and shows that the race is far from over. However, it’s important for both sides to not get too confident and to continue working hard to earn the support of the American people.
One potential concern for Trump is a case brought against him by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg regarding hush money payments. The case has been called into question due to potential bias and conflicts of interest, and Trump has also been threatened with jail time. These legal battles can have an impact on the election and are something to keep an eye on as the race continues.
Throughout the polling data, it is clear that Trump leads on several key issues that are important to voters, including the economy, inflation, and crime and safety. This demonstrates that Trump still resonates with a significant portion of the American electorate on issues that matter most to them. Additionally, the fact that Biden and Trump are even when it comes to the issue of protecting democracy shows that both candidates have work to do to earn the trust of the American people on this vital issue.
Regarding the personal approval of the candidates, the poll indicates that Biden has a 35 percent approval rating, with 57 percent disapproving, while 44 percent now approve of Trump’s handling of his job as president, with 50 percent disapproving. These numbers suggest that both candidates have room for improvement in how they are perceived by the American people.
Furthermore, the polling data shows that Trump leads on various issues such as immigration at the U.S.-Mexico border, America’s standing in the world, and the war between Israel and Hamas. This demonstrates that Trump continues to resonate with voters on these important matters, creating an opportunity for him to gain further support as the election approaches.
Biden’s approval among key demographics like black and Latino voters has seen a decline since the last election, indicating challenges he may face in retaining their support in the upcoming election. These shifts in demographics show potential weakness for the Biden campaign as they seek to maintain their coalition of supporters.
The polling data also indicates that a plurality of respondents feel that neither candidate fully represents their personal values and understands the problems of people like them. This sentiment reflects a lack of connection between the candidates and certain segments of the American population, presenting an opportunity for both candidates to better connect with these voters.
The polling data suggests that the 2024 election is still very much up for grabs, with both Trump and Biden having work to do to earn the support of the American people. The issues that resonate with voters and the perception of the candidates among key demographics will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of the election. As the race continues, both candidates have the opportunity to address the concerns and priorities of the American people to secure their support come November.
