Staff Reports
North Carolina has been a strong predictor of presidential election results, voting for the winning candidate 64.5% of the time since 1900. The state’s recent polling reveals strong support for former Republican President Donald Trump, with several polls showing him ahead of Democratic President Joe Biden by significant margins.
Whopping edge for Trump over Biden in bellwether state: Poll https://t.co/I6LIdL5ARt https://t.co/I6LIdL5ARt
— Washington Examiner (@dcexaminer) April 25, 2024
Contrary to popular belief that North Carolina is evenly split between political parties, recent poll data shows a clear Republican lean in the state’s presidential elections. The electorate in North Carolina has also shifted over the years, with the percentage of unaffiliated voters increasing significantly.
The historical pattern of presidential elections in North Carolina also leans heavily Republican, with only two Democratic presidents winning the state since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Former President Donald Trump won the state in 2016 by 3.6% and narrowly lost in 2020.
With North Carolina being the ninth-most populous state and having 16 electoral college votes, the Republican advantage in the state holds significant influence in presidential elections.
