Staff Reports
In a shocking turn of events, former President Donald Trump has gained support from minority voters at a level that has never been seen before. This is making Democrats very worried. The Washington Post says that Trump's approval ratings among Black and Hispanic voters have gone up a lot, even though his presidency has been divisive and the political environment is tense.
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The Western Journal says that the Democratic National Committee (DNC) is in "panic mode" because Trump's support among minorities is greater than that of any Republican in the past 50 years. This new information has made Democrats worried and set off alarm bells.
Political experts are still trying to figure out what changed in the minds of minority voters. Some people say it's because of Trump's economic policies. Before the pandemic, Black and Hispanic Americans had the lowest unemployment rates in history. Others think it's because people are unhappy with how the current government is handling important problems.
Recent polls show that Trump's support is also growing in key battleground states, which could hurt President Biden's chances of being re-elected in 2024. In a made-up election for November 2024, both Biden and Trump get 39% of the vote. This means that 20% of people are still not sure who they want to vote for. But Trump seems to have gotten a better position in the seven states that were very important in the 2020 presidential race.
These states are Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, and Michigan, where Trump has 41% and Biden has 35%, leaving 24% still uncertain. This race might come down to the last second.
Trump is still a strong political contender, even though he is facing federal and state criminal charges for trying to change the results of the 2020 election and for allegedly mishandling classified papers after he left office. People think that he will spend a lot of 2024 in court and running for office at the same time.
Trump has the support of 32% of independent voters, while Biden only has the support of 30%. 38% of independents haven't made up their minds yet, so the race is still wide open. In a surprising turn, Reuters found that 77% of respondents, including 65% of Democrats, think Biden is too old to be president. This opinion has grown a lot in the past few months. 56% of people feel the same way about Trump. Also, only 39% think Biden has the right mind to be president, while 54% think Trump can do the job.
Voters also make decisions based on how they feel about the economy. Even though the White House said the economy was strong, 73% of those who responded said their economic position is the same or worse since the COVID-19 pandemic began. Only 35% are hopeful that their finances will get better in the next year.
Last week, Trump even passed Biden in the average RCP poll, with 44.8% to Biden's 44.4%. The difference was only 0.4 percentage points. People usually trust the RCP average as a good measure of how the public feels because it takes the average of many polls.
Polls from The Wall Street Journal, CNN, and the New York Post show that Trump's popularity is on the rise again. This raises important questions about how the American people feel about the Biden government. If Biden doesn't get back this dwindling support by November 2024, it will continue a trend that has been going on for a decade, which is that usually Democratic-friendly groups are getting weaker.
Early national polls show that the race is close, and the data suggests that this is because Biden's support among these people isn't very strong. Even though he is just as popular with white voters as he was four years ago, Biden's task is to keep the support of key minority groups.
As this unexpected change in how voters act plays out, the Democratic Party may need to rethink its plans to deal with this new problem. Their usual strategy of counting on a large number of minority voters may not be enough to win in the future. How both parties adjust and respond to this new political landscape can only be seen in the future.
